Pearson Edexcel · A-Level · Mathematics

    Course version: 9MA0 · Version from Mar 2026

    Understand and apply the language of statistical hypothesis testing,…

    Full specification wording

    Statistical hypothesis testing: 5.1 Understand and apply the language of statistical hypothesis testing, developed through a binomial model: null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, significance level, test statistic, 1-tail test, 2-tail test, critical value, critical region, acceptance region, p-value; extend to correlation coefficients as measures of how close data points lie to a straight line, and be able to interpret a given correlation coefficient using a given p-value or critical value (calculation of correlation coefficients is excluded).

    A hypothesis test starts with a null hypothesis H₀, usually a claim about a population parameter, and an alternative hypothesis H₁ stating the direction or difference being tested.

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    • 4 key terms

    Study notes

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    The idea

    A hypothesis test starts with a null hypothesis H₀, usually a claim about a population parameter, and an alternative hypothesis H₁ stating the direction or difference being tested. The significance level α is the probability of rejecting H₀ when it is true. The test statistic is calculated from the sample; for a binomial model it is the number of successes X ~ B(n, p). A 1-tail test uses one extreme region, a 2-tail test splits α between both tails. The critical region is the set of test statistic values leading to rejection of H₀; its boundary is the critical value, and the acceptance region is the complement. The p-value is the probability, assuming H₀, of a result at least as extreme as observed. Correlation coefficients measure how closely data lie to a straight line; interpret a given coefficient against a given p-value or critical value, without calculating it.

    What earns the marks

    • Defines H₀ and H₁ in context, choosing a 1-tail or 2-tail alternative to match the wording of the claim.
    • States the significance level and explains it as the probability of incorrectly rejecting a true H₀.
    • Identifies the test statistic and its distribution, for example X ~ B(n, p) under H₀.
    • Distinguishes the critical value, critical region and acceptance region, and uses them to reach a reject or do-not-reject decision.
    • Interprets a p-value by comparing it with the significance level, and interprets a given correlation coefficient using a given p-value or critical value.

    Common mistakes and how to put them right

    • Writing H₁ as an equality.

      Put it right by using an inequality such as p > 0.5 or p ≠ 0.5.

    • Comparing the test statistic directly with the significance level.

      Put it right by comparing the p-value with α, or the statistic with the critical value.

    • Treating a large correlation coefficient as proof of causation.

      Put it right by interpreting it only as a measure of linear closeness, subject to the given p-value or critical value.

    Exam tips

    • Define H₀ and H₁ in words and symbols before calculating anything.
    • State whether the test is 1-tail or 2-tail and show how the critical region follows from α.
    • Finish with a conclusion in context that refers back to the original claim, not just to H₀.

    Try the lesson

    The start of the Statistical hypothesis testing: 5.1 Understand and apply the language of statistical hypothesis testing, developed through a binomial model: null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, significance level, test statistic, 1-tail test, 2-tail test, critical value, critical region, acceptance region, p-value; extend to correlation coefficients as measures of how close data points lie to a straight line, and be able to interpret a given correlation coefficient using a given p-value or critical value (calculation of correlation coefficients is excluded). lesson, made from checked teaching notes for this specification point.

    Have a go first

    A test is carried out at the 5% significance level. The null hypothesis is rejected when the p-value is less than or equal to 0.05. A researcher obtains a p-value of 0.03. What is the correct conclusion?

    Listen

    A hypothesis test starts with a null hypothesis H₀, usually a claim about a population parameter, and an alternative hypothesis H₁ stating the direction or difference being tested. The significance level α is the probability of rejecting H₀ when it is true. The test statistic is calculated from the sample; for a binomial model it is the number of successes X ~ B(n, p). A 1-tail test uses one extreme region, a 2-tail test splits α between both tails. The critical region is the set of test statistic values leading to rejection of H₀; its boundary is the critical value, and the acceptance region is the complement. The p-value is the probability, assuming H₀, of a result at least as extreme as observed. Correlation coefficients measure how closely data lie to a straight line; interpret a given coefficient against a given p-value or critical value, without calculating it. A strong answer earns marks for these points. Defines H₀ and H₁ in context, choosing a 1-tail or 2-tail alternative to match the wording of the claim. States the significance level and explains it as the probability of incorrectly rejecting a true H₀. Identifies the test statistic and its distribution, for example X ~ B(n, p) under H₀. Distinguishes the critical value, critical region and acceptance region, and uses them to reach a reject or do-not-reject decision. A common slip: Writing H₁ as an equality. Instead, using an inequality such as p > 0.5 or p ≠ 0.5. Exam tip: Define H₀ and H₁ in words and symbols before calculating anything.

    See it

    A top-down flowchart with eight nodes. The first node says define H₀ and H₁ in context and leads to choosing 1-tail or 2-tail to match the claim. That leads to stating the significance level α, which leads to identifying the test statistic and its distribution under H₀. From there the flow splits into two parallel nodes: one on the critical value, critical region and acceptance region, and one on the p-value. Both of these lead into a single node on rejecting or not rejecting H₀, which finally leads to a conclusion in context referring back to the original claim.
    The steps of a hypothesis test from defining H₀ and H₁ through to a conclusion in context, showing that the decision can be reached via the critical region or the p-value.

    Key words

    Say what each word means before you turn the card.

    Null hypothesis

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    Alternative hypothesis

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    Significance level

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    Test statistic

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    See every definition
    Null hypothesis
    A claim about a population parameter, usually written H₀, with which a hypothesis test starts.
    Alternative hypothesis
    Written H₁, it states the direction or difference being tested against the null hypothesis.
    Significance level
    The probability α of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true.
    Test statistic
    A value calculated from the sample; for a binomial model it is the number of successes X ~ B(n, p).

    Label the diagram

    Some boxes have lost their names. Pick the right name for each number.

    The diagram again, with 3 boxes numbered instead of named. A top-down flowchart with eight nodes. The first node says define H₀ and H₁ in context and leads to choosing 1-tail or 2-tail to match the claim. That leads to stating the significance level α, which leads to identifying the test statistic and its distribution under H₀. From there the flow splits into two parallel nodes: one on the critical value, critical region and acceptance region, and one on the p-value. Both of these lead into a single node on rejecting or not rejecting H₀, which finally leads to a conclusion in context referring back to the original claim.
    • 1Box 1

    • 2Box 2

    • 3Box 3

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    Test your understanding of Statistical hypothesis testing: 5.1 Understand and apply the language of statistical hypothesis testing, developed through a binomial model: null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, significance level, test statistic, 1-tail test, 2-tail test, critical value, critical region, acceptance region, p-value; extend to correlation coefficients as measures of how close data points lie to a straight line, and be able to interpret a given correlation coefficient using a given p-value or critical value (calculation of correlation coefficients is excluded).

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